Tuesday, September 10, 2013

Muzaffarnagar Riots – Dirty Politics of Mulayam Singh Yadav

Whatever happened in UP in the past week or so is the result of dirty politics being played more or less solely by Mulayam Singh Yadav’s Samajwadi party (SP) to consolidate its Muslim vote bank and has resulted in 30+ communal riots since SP came to power in 2012. Recent episode of suspension of IAS officer Durga Shakti Nagpal can also be attributed to the same approach. So let’s look at what exactly is SP upto:
                    
Vote Share Chart 2012 Assembly elections



As per above chart in 2012 Vidhan Sabha election, SP got 29.2% and BSP got 25.9%, only a 3.3% vote share difference. But due to multi cornered contest in UP, SP won 224 seats while BSP had to contend with just 80 seats. So even a minor movement of vote can cause big changes.

In 2012 election it is believed that Muslims (19%) + Yadav (9%) overwhelmingly voted for SP,  probably around 80% of them, so essentially SP got around 23% vote just from Yadav’s and Muslims, rest of the 6-7% vote came as a floating vote.

Now though in 2012 elections Congress made a desperate attempt to woo Muslims votes by offering the carrot of reservations in government jobs etc., but Muslims chose to side with SP. In spite of Muslim support that SP got in 2012, it has been insecure about the Muslim vote bank, as it knows both Congress and BSP have their eyes set on this vote bank.

Mulayam knows that even if Congress and BSP are able to get 4-5% Muslim votes from his kitty, he would lose a large number of seats. So since coming to power in 2012 SP has made every attempt to consolidate the Muslim vote for it and to do that it essentially gave goons in Muslim community a free hand. So to a large extent a Muslim could do any crime and go scot-free, so these goons molested and raped Hindu women.

See the long list of Rapes done by Muslims on Hindu women since 2012:


Muslim goons engaged in rioting (there have been 30+ communal riots since SP came to power), smuggled sophisticated arms and even if the police caught them they were let go. Over the last few months there have been numerous reports of deadly weapons being circulated in UP, but the government has taken absolutely no action till date. There have been rumors that a Muslim leader is hand-in-glove with this whole exercise of arming a community to the teeth. In fact, quite a few vehicles have been raided by the police with large quantities of illegal weapons, but the state administration has adopted a “blind eye” policy towards this whole phenomenon. So essentially there was no fear of law.

Now as 2014 election are approaching the Samajwadi party is getting desperate, so when the brutal murder of the 2 Hindus took place, the police didn't do much. This was the usual script that Samajwadi Party has been playing since it came to power. For more insight into what happened check this out:


Now rioting is still on and SP, Congress, BSP have started blaming BJP out of nowhere. As I explained above this is solely the doing of SP, no other party is directly involved.

SP is sure shot winner by consolidating the Muslim vote bank. 

Pulling in BJP as a culprit with the beneficiary theory is out rightly ridiculous, why the hell will SP get together with BJP or anyone on this, they are doing whatever they think will get them maximum       political mileage and they don't care who is the beneficiary whether it’s BSP or BJP. SP’s sole aim is seat maximization for 2014 Lok Sabha elections. Blaming BJP using beneficiary is ludicrousit's like saying that since BJP will benefit from scams done by Congress, so BJP is also involved.

According to me SP is solely responsible. Congress/UPA Government can be blamed for inaction (for the fear of antagonizing Muslim votes) in spite of knowing (through IB etc.) what has been going on in UP in last year or so (arms being smuggled, rapes of Hindu girls etc.).


Sunday, August 25, 2013

A tale of power sector in two states ( Delhi and Gujarat )


Uninterrupted power supply is something that everyone in western world would take for granted. But in India, for most parts of the country this remains a much desired distant dream. 24*7 power supply is not merely a statistic for flaunting, but has a profound impact on the lives of the people, both economically and socially. It helps children study longer, helps in improving the safety for women and allows more economic activity in the villages. A more reliable power supply in villages also reduces migration to cities as better social and economic activities are now available in the village itself.

Now let’s take a look at two states (Gujarat and Delhi) and how they did as far as power sector is concerned. I am picking up Delhi for comparison with Gujarat as this is usually touted by Congress as one of their best performing states.


Delhi


Delhi, here Sheila Dixit/Congress has been in power for almost 15 yrs. and the state power sector is in shambles and frequent power cuts are a norm. Situation in Delhi power companies is precarious. The five power generation companies in Delhi that together contribute under 2,000 MW to the Delhi power pool are on the verge of closure on account of severe financial crises brought on by non-payment of dues by the power distribution companies (Discoms) – BYPL and BRPL (BSES Rajdhani Power Ltd). As on date, the Discoms owe Rs.3,400 crore to the power generation companies (Rs.2,700 crore) and Delhi Transco Limited (Rs.700 crore). The power generators are threatening to pull the plug. This would throw large parts of the national capital into darkness.


Gujarat


Narendra Modi has been in power in Gujarat for around 12 yrs. In 2001 when Modi became Chief Minister power sector was in shambles. A decade later it is at the forefront of states that have carried out sweeping power reforms, as a result of which it now has surplus power. In October 2001, he found the state's power situation grim. The Gujarat State Electricity Board, or GSEB, had posted a loss of Rs 2,246 crore for 2000/01, on revenues of Rs 6,280 crore. Interest costs alone were Rs 1,227 crore. Transmission and distribution, or T&D, losses were a substantial 35.27 per cent, and load shedding was frequent. GSEB had no funds to add generation capacity on its own, nor was it able to persuade the private sector to invest. Modi knew that power in necessary for growth of Gujarat.

He soon got on with reforming the sector in Gujarat and the state electricity board posted its first profit of Rs 203 crore - after tax - in 2005/06. By 2010/11, net profit had risen to Rs 533 crore, while T&D losses had fallen to 20.13 per cent. Tariff collection efficiency is close to 100 per cent. Private players, once reluctant to invest in Gujarat's power generation, are now rushing in: of the power plants with a total installed capacity of 16,945 MW coming up in the state, 6,864 MW - or roughly, a third - is by the private sector. Today Gujarat is one of the few power surplus states in India with 24*7 power supply across the state.

Gujarat has also made huge strides in renewable power generation, Gujarat Solar Park is the biggest solar farm in the world, covering 2,000 hectare of northern Gujarat, India, and it has the capacity to generate 850MW of power. An increase to 1,000 MW is expected to be completed by 2013. In the first-ever exercise to grade all state utilities for their credit-worthiness, all four electricity distribution entities from Gujarat have been rated 'A+'.

While power supply situation remains worrisome in most parts of India, another BJP ruled state of Madhya Pradesh (MP), which used to be tagged as a BIMARU state, now after 10 yrs. of continuous BJP rule, is expecting a 24 hour power supply in 2013-14 to be implemented in all the districts.

If even after around 57 yrs. of Congress rule, they are not able to ensure basic things like uninterrupted power supply, there should be no reason to entrust them with the responsibility of governing the country or state.